Poultry production in Brazil forecast to grow 1.8% in 2024

The production of chicken meat in Brazil is anticipated to reach between 15 and 15.1 million tonnes this year, reflecting a slight increase of 1.8% compared to last year’s production of 14.833 million tonnes, according to the Brazilian Association of Animal Protein (ABPA).

Projections for 2025 suggest that production could range from 15.25 to 15.35 million tonnes, marking an increase of up to 2.3% compared to the expected output for 2024.

Poultry meat exports

In terms of exports, ABPA projects total shipments this year to reach up to 5.25 million tonnes, a 2.2% increase over the 5.139 million tonnes recorded in 2023. Regarding 2025, international sales may climb to 5.35 million tonnes, representing a 1.9% rise over the forecasted exports for 2024.

The domestic supply of chicken meat in 2024 is estimated to reach approximately 9.85 million tonnes, up to 1.5% more than the 9.694 million tonnes available in 2023. For 2025, the domestic availability is projected to be around 10 million tonnes, a further 1.5% increase compared to this year’s forecast.

Consumption

Regarding per capita consumption, the figure is to be around 45 kg this year, maintaining stability compared to the 45.1 kg recorded in 2023. In 2025, per capita consumption is projected to rise to 46 kg, a 2% increase from the expected consumption for 2024.

Newcastle Disease outbreak contained

After confirming an outbreak of Newcastle Disease at a commercial poultry farm on 17 July, Brazil has taken significant steps to fully reopen its market and resume the export flow of poultry meat and products.

The Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock (Mapa) informed the outbreak was contained the World Organisation for Animal Health (WOAH) on July 25. As a result, the official document registered with the international entity was updated on 26 July, indicating no ongoing virus outbreak in the country.

This update allows the Brazilian government to await the lifting of suspensions by importing countries, paving the way for the full resumption of poultry meat exports.

The follow-up report published on the WOAH website states: “The epidemiological investigation conducted by the Official Veterinary Services in the peripheral and surveillance areas did not identify animals showing clinical signs compatible with Newcastle Disease.”

According to the document, the source of the infection remains unknown or inconclusive.